We have scored the climate risk of the 1.436 buildings in Alfarp using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse. The clearest change comes at night: from 22 to 60 tropical nights a year by 2050.
Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.
Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →
It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.
In a typical building in Alfarp, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 22 a year (1991-2020) to about 60 by 2050. For this reason, 100 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.
Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).
Around homes with less than 2 % tree cover, the surface in summer is 2,0 °C above the median for Alfarp; with more than 40 % tree cover, 2,3 °C below. 79 homes are in surroundings with almost no trees.
Ground surface temperature (Landsat), not air temperature. More trees usually go with less asphalt and lower density: this is a correlation, not a measure of the effect of planting trees.
These are 806 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Almost all are houses (799), on the edges of the town and in housing estates.
Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.
Along Barranc de l'Almaguer (1,7 km within the municipality, dry most of the year) there is no official mapped flood zone, but there are 85 homes less than 50 m from the watercourse.
Having no official map does not mean it cannot overflow: watercourses that are dry most of the year are the ones that cause the most surprises in a storm.
They were built before the first thermal insulation standard (1979). With 60 tropical nights a year by 2050, they will hold the most heat at night and have the most to gain from a retrofit.
Year of construction from the Cadastre.
The 1.432 homes in Alfarp by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.
The same data for all 8.217 municipalities in Spain. Choose what to compare with: municipalities of a similar size, the province, the region or the whole of Spain.
Compared with the 1.826 municipalities with between 1.000 and 5.000 inhabitants. The bar shows where Alfarp stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Alfarp | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 20 nights | 5 nights | higher than 82 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 73 nights | 34 nights | higher than 88 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 34,4 °C | 33,0 °C | higher than 60 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,3 °C | 0,2 °C | higher than 58 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 4,0% | 1,1% | higher than 75 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 1,6% | 0,0% | higher than 83 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,9 | 4,6 | higher than 61 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 29 m/s | 30 m/s | lower than 65 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,6 mm/yr | −0,3 mm/yr | sinking faster than 68 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 18% | 24% | lower than 84 % of them |
Compared with the 266 municipalities in Valencia province. The bar shows where Alfarp stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Alfarp | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 20 nights | 24 nights | lower than 55 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 73 nights | 78 nights | lower than 57 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 34,4 °C | 33,4 °C | higher than 70 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,3 °C | 0,5 °C | lower than 64 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 4,0% | 1,8% | higher than 66 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 1,6% | 0,0% | higher than 89 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,9 | 5,0 | lower than 56 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 29 m/s | 28 m/s | higher than 71 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,6 mm/yr | −0,5 mm/yr | sinking faster than 56 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 18% | 21% | lower than 83 % of them |
Compared with the 542 municipalities in the Valencian Community. The bar shows where Alfarp stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Alfarp | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 20 nights | 15 nights | higher than 54 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 73 nights | 70 nights | higher than 53 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 34,4 °C | 32,5 °C | higher than 79 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,3 °C | 0,4 °C | lower than 56 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 4,0% | 1,0% | higher than 75 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 1,6% | 0,0% | higher than 83 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,9 | 5,0 | lower than 54 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 29 m/s | 28 m/s | higher than 65 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,6 mm/yr | −0,5 mm/yr | sinking faster than 58 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 18% | 23% | lower than 86 % of them |
Compared with the 8.217 municipalities in Spain. The bar shows where Alfarp stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Alfarp | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 20 nights | 0 nights | higher than 87 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 73 nights | 8 nights | higher than 90 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 34,4 °C | 32,4 °C | higher than 74 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,3 °C | 0,1 °C | higher than 63 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 4,0% | 0,6% | higher than 78 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 1,6% | 0,0% | higher than 85 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,9 | 4,6 | higher than 63 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 29 m/s | 31 m/s | lower than 70 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,6 mm/yr | −0,4 mm/yr | sinking faster than 60 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 18% | 28% | lower than 89 % of them |
Values for the municipality as a whole (median over built-up land). The position is the percentage of municipalities in the group with a lower value: it is not a probability of damage. 2050 = SSP3-7.0 scenario.
Semicolon-separated tables with a decimal comma, ready to open in a spreadsheet or a GIS (areas include longitude and latitude).
What this is and what it is not. It is a guide-only analysis made with public data and models, with the same rules for every municipality. It does not replace official maps, a technical study or emergency plans. For your own building, look up its report.
Building by building. We have scored the 1.436 Cadastre buildings in Alfarp with the same rules as each building’s report on Mi Riesgo Climático, from 0 to 100 for each hazard: low (up to 25), medium (up to 50), high (up to 75) and very high.
Aggregates only. To protect each owner, no individual building appears here: only 250 m areas with at least 3 buildings, and neighbourhoods and streets with at least 60 homes.
Wildfire and flooding. Wildfire counts proximity to woodland or scrubland of at least 100 ha (not urban parks or tree-lined streets). For flooding, besides the official flood zones, a building that was inside a real flood observed by satellite (Copernicus EMS, such as the 2024 DANA storm) is at least at high level.
2050. Average for 2041-2070 under an intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0). Tropical nights and heat change with the climate; flooding, wildfire, wind and ground movement are shown with current data when there is no projection.
Rivers and streams. Named watercourses from OpenStreetMap. We count the homes less than 50 and 100 m from the watercourse and, separately, how many of them are in an official flood zone (SNCZI). Being close does not mean they will flood, and having no official zone does not mean they cannot.
Neighbourhoods and streets. Neighbourhoods and districts from OpenStreetMap; streets according to the Cadastre address. The street heat index combines tropical nights in 2050 (35 %), heat island (30 %), lack of trees (20 %) and buildings from before 1980 (15 %).
Sources. Cadastre (buildings and addresses); ERA5 + CHELSA/CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR and AdapteCCa (tropical nights and temperature); Landsat 8/9 and MODIS (heat island); ESA WorldCover and EFFIS (wildfire); MITECO SNCZI (flood zones); JRC (coast); ERA5 + Global Wind Atlas (wind); Copernicus EGMS (ground movement); WRI Aqueduct (water); INE (population); OpenStreetMap, © contributors, ODbL (streets, neighbourhoods, rivers and facilities).