Toledo · 931 inhabitants · 601 buildings analysed one by one

LayosClimate risk in its neighbourhoods, streets and rivers, today and in 2050

We have scored the climate risk of the 601 buildings in Layos using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse. The clearest change comes at night: from 13 to 54 tropical nights a year by 2050.

13→54tropical nights a year in a typical building, today and by 2050
100%of homes at high or very high heat risk by 2050
565homes in 601 buildings analysed one by one
At a glance

Where the risk lies by 2050

LowMediumHighVery highRivers and streams

Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.

Tropical nights a year in a typical building

Layos compared with Spain

  • Tropical nights a year, 2050: 61 nights
    higher than 85 % of municipalities
  • Average summer maximum, 2050: 36,1 °C
    higher than 86 % of municipalities
  • Flood-prone area (100-year): 2,8%
    higher than 72 % of municipalities
  • Area burnt 2016-2026: 0,0%
    lower than 64 % of municipalities
  • Water stress 2050 (0-5): 5,0
    higher than 82 % of municipalities

Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →

What stands out

What we found in Layos

It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.

1

From 13 to 54 tropical nights a year

13→54 nights

In a typical building in Layos, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 13 a year (1991-2020) to about 54 by 2050. For this reason, 100 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.

Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).

2

Where there are fewer trees, 1,9 °C hotter

1,9 °C

Around homes with less than 2 % tree cover, the surface in summer is 1,1 °C above the median for Layos; with between 20 and 40 % tree cover, 0,8 °C below. 20 homes are in surroundings with almost no trees.

Ground surface temperature (Landsat), not air temperature. More trees usually go with less asphalt and lower density: this is a correlation, not a measure of the effect of planting trees.

3

48 homes at very high wildfire risk

52 buildings

These are 52 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Almost all are houses (51), on the edges of the town and in housing estates.

Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.

Six hazards

How many homes are at high risk, today and in 2050

The 565 homes in Layos by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.

LowMediumHighVery high
What can be done

For the town council and for residents

For the town council and its technical staff

  • Climate shelters, and late-afternoon and evening opening hours at libraries and community centres in the areas with the most tropical nights.
  • Review with the river basin authority the watercourses with no official mapping that run next to homes, and keep them clear.
  • Firebreaks and evacuation routes in the streets that border woodland.
  • Download the tables by area, neighbourhood, street and watercourse (Data tab) to cross-check them with urban planning.

For residents

  • Air your home in the early hours, shade west-facing walls from the sun and ask about grants to insulate the roof.
  • If you live on a ground floor or have a garage next to a watercourse, have a plan: where to go upstairs, what to switch off and how to hear about warnings.
  • Keep the strip around your house clear of dry vegetation and know both ways out of your street.
  • Look up your building: the free report gives its level for each hazard, and the Climate Note gives the full detail.

Look up your building