Tarragona · 3.340 inhabitants · 1.972 buildings analysed one by one

FlixClimate risk in its neighbourhoods, streets and rivers, today and in 2050

We have scored the climate risk of the 1.972 buildings in Flix using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse. The clearest change comes at night: from 30 to 73 tropical nights a year by 2050.

30→73tropical nights a year in a typical building, today and by 2050
100%of homes at high or very high heat risk by 2050
688homes in the official flood zone (500 years)
At a glance

Where the risk lies by 2050

LowMediumHighVery highRivers and streams

Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.

Tropical nights a year in a typical building

Flix compared with Spain

  • Tropical nights a year, 2050: 84 nights
    higher than 93 % of municipalities
  • Average summer maximum, 2050: 36,0 °C
    higher than 85 % of municipalities
  • Flood-prone area (100-year): 3,7%
    higher than 77 % of municipalities
  • Area burnt 2016-2026: 34,8%
    higher than 98 % of municipalities
  • Water stress 2050 (0-5): 2,2
    lower than 91 % of municipalities

Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →

What stands out

What we found in Flix

It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.

1

688 homes in a flood zone

688 homes

They are in the area that can flood once every 500 years according to the official maps (SNCZI); 476 of them are in the 100-year area. Next to Riu Ebre, 28 homes are inside the flood zone, less than 100 m from the watercourse.

According to the Ministry’s studies, this is an annual probability of 0,2 % (500 years) or 1 % (100 years), not “once every 500 years”: it can happen two years in a row. Small gullies are not always mapped.

2

From 30 to 73 tropical nights a year

30→73 nights

In a typical building in Flix, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 30 a year (1991-2020) to about 73 by 2050. For this reason, 100 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.

Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).

3

73 in every 100 buildings were built before 1980

73 %

They were built before the first thermal insulation standard (1979). With 73 tropical nights a year by 2050, they will hold the most heat at night and have the most to gain from a retrofit.

Year of construction from the Cadastre.

4

457 homes at very high wildfire risk

688 buildings

These are 688 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Almost all are houses (680), on the edges of the town and in housing estates.

Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.

5

Where there are fewer trees, 1,6 °C hotter

1,6 °C

Around homes with between 2 and 5 % tree cover, the surface in summer is 0,7 °C above the median for Flix; with more than 40 % tree cover, 0,9 °C below. 8 homes are in surroundings with almost no trees.

Ground surface temperature (Landsat), not air temperature. More trees usually go with less asphalt and lower density: this is a correlation, not a measure of the effect of planting trees.

Six hazards

How many homes are at high risk, today and in 2050

The 2.290 homes in Flix by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.

LowMediumHighVery high
What can be done

For the town council and for residents

For the town council and its technical staff

  • Climate shelters, and late-afternoon and evening opening hours at libraries and community centres in the areas with the most tropical nights.
  • Review with the river basin authority the watercourses with no official mapping that run next to homes, and keep them clear.
  • Firebreaks and evacuation routes in the streets that border woodland.
  • Download the tables by area, neighbourhood, street and watercourse (Data tab) to cross-check them with urban planning.

For residents

  • Air your home in the early hours, shade west-facing walls from the sun and ask about grants to insulate the roof.
  • If you live on a ground floor or have a garage next to a watercourse, have a plan: where to go upstairs, what to switch off and how to hear about warnings.
  • Keep the strip around your house clear of dry vegetation and know both ways out of your street.
  • Look up your building: the free report gives its level for each hazard, and the Climate Note gives the full detail.

Look up your building