Climate risk in Villaverde del Río: neighbourhoods, streets, rivers and buildings, today and in 2050

At a glance

Where the risk lies by 2050

LowMediumHighVery highRivers and streams

Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.

Tropical nights a year in a typical building

Villaverde del Río compared with Spain

Tropical nights a year, 2050: 74 nights
higher than 91 % of municipalities
Average summer maximum, 2050: 38,2 °C
higher than 99 % of municipalities
Flood-prone area (100-year): 21,2%
higher than 97 % of municipalities
Area burnt 2016-2026: 0,0%
lower than 64 % of municipalities
Water stress 2050 (0-5): 5,0
higher than 82 % of municipalities

Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →

What stands out

What we found in Villaverde del Río

It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.

2.490 homes in a flood zone

2.490 homes

They are in the area that can flood once every 500 years according to the official maps (SNCZI); 2.469 of them are in the 100-year area. Next to Antiguo cauce del Arroyo Siete Arroyos, 99 homes are inside the flood zone, less than 100 m from the watercourse.

According to the Ministry’s studies, this is an annual probability of 0,2 % (500 years) or 1 % (100 years), not “once every 500 years”: it can happen two years in a row. Small gullies are not always mapped.

From 33 to 79 tropical nights a year

33→79 nights

In a typical building in Villaverde del Río, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 33 a year (1991-2020) to about 79 by 2050. For this reason, 100 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.

Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).

4 schools, care homes or health centres in a flood zone

4 facilities

They are in the official 500-year flood zone or in a preferential flow zone. They are the first to review in an emergency plan: who is inside, how to get out and whether they use the ground floor.

Health centre: Centro de Salud Villaverde del Río
School: Colegio de Educación Infantil y Primaria Alpesa
School: Colegio de Educación Infantil y Primaria Nuestra Señora de Aguas Santas
School: Instituto de Educación Secundaria Pepe Ruiz Vela

OpenStreetMap location matched to the nearest Cadastre building.

693 homes at very high wildfire risk

905 buildings

These are 905 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Almost all are houses (901), on the edges of the town and in housing estates.

Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.

Where there are fewer trees, 1,9 °C hotter

1,9 °C

Around homes with less than 2 % tree cover, the surface in summer is 0,3 °C above the median for Villaverde del Río; with more than 40 % tree cover, 1,6 °C below. 449 homes are in surroundings with almost no trees.

Ground surface temperature (Landsat), not air temperature. More trees usually go with less asphalt and lower density: this is a correlation, not a measure of the effect of planting trees.

Six hazards

How many homes are at high risk, today and in 2050

The 3.301 homes in Villaverde del Río by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.

LowMediumHighVery high

What can be done

For the town council and for residents

For the town council and its technical staff

Climate shelters, and late-afternoon and evening opening hours at libraries and community centres in the areas with the most tropical nights.
Review with the river basin authority the watercourses with no official mapping that run next to homes, and keep them clear.
Firebreaks and evacuation routes in the streets that border woodland.
Emergency self-protection plans in the schools, care homes and health centres that are in a flood zone.
Download the tables by area, neighbourhood, street and watercourse (Data tab) to cross-check them with urban planning.

For residents

Air your home in the early hours, shade west-facing walls from the sun and ask about grants to insulate the roof.
If you live on a ground floor or have a garage next to a watercourse, have a plan: where to go upstairs, what to switch off and how to hear about warnings.
Keep the strip around your house clear of dry vegetation and know both ways out of your street.
Look up your building: the free report gives its level for each hazard, and the Climate Note gives the full detail.

Look up your building

How it compares

Villaverde del Río compared with other municipalities

The same data for all 8.217 municipalities in Spain. Choose what to compare with: municipalities of a similar size, the province, the region or the whole of Spain.

Compared with the 893 municipalities with between 5.000 and 20.000 inhabitants. The bar shows where Villaverde del Río stands: further right means more risk.

Indicator	Villaverde del Río	Group median	Position
Tropical nights a year, today	33 nights	10 nights	higher than 80 % of them
Tropical nights a year, 2050	74 nights	48 nights	higher than 76 % of them
Average summer maximum, 2050	38,2 °C	32,4 °C	higher than 98 % of them
Night-time heat island	−0,5 °C	0,4 °C	lower than 96 % of them
Flood-prone area (100-year)	21,2%	1,2%	higher than 95 % of them
Area burnt 2016-2026	0,0%	0,0%	lower than 67 % of them
Water stress 2050 (0-5)	5,0	4,8	higher than 80 % of them
Maximum 50-year gust	31 m/s	30 m/s	higher than 59 % of them
Ground movement	−0,6 mm/yr	−0,6 mm/yr	sinking faster than 51 % of them
Population aged 65 or over	17%	20%	lower than 75 % of them

Compared with the 106 municipalities in Seville province. The bar shows where Villaverde del Río stands: further right means more risk.

Indicator	Villaverde del Río	Group median	Position
Tropical nights a year, today	33 nights	26 nights	higher than 81 % of them
Tropical nights a year, 2050	74 nights	60 nights	higher than 89 % of them
Average summer maximum, 2050	38,2 °C	37,3 °C	higher than 91 % of them
Night-time heat island	−0,5 °C	0,4 °C	lower than 97 % of them
Flood-prone area (100-year)	21,2%	1,6%	higher than 83 % of them
Area burnt 2016-2026	0,0%	0,0%	lower than 65 % of them
Water stress 2050 (0-5)	5,0	5,0	higher than 54 % of them
Maximum 50-year gust	31 m/s	33 m/s	lower than 83 % of them
Ground movement	−0,6 mm/yr	−0,1 mm/yr	sinking faster than 77 % of them
Population aged 65 or over	17%	18%	lower than 65 % of them

Compared with the 786 municipalities in Andalusia. The bar shows where Villaverde del Río stands: further right means more risk.

Indicator	Villaverde del Río	Group median	Position
Tropical nights a year, today	33 nights	17 nights	higher than 79 % of them
Tropical nights a year, 2050	74 nights	49 nights	higher than 80 % of them
Average summer maximum, 2050	38,2 °C	35,2 °C	higher than 93 % of them
Night-time heat island	−0,5 °C	0,3 °C	lower than 89 % of them
Flood-prone area (100-year)	21,2%	0,8%	higher than 97 % of them
Area burnt 2016-2026	0,0%	0,0%	lower than 67 % of them
Water stress 2050 (0-5)	5,0	5,0	higher than 59 % of them
Maximum 50-year gust	31 m/s	31 m/s	lower than 54 % of them
Ground movement	−0,6 mm/yr	0,0 mm/yr	sinking faster than 83 % of them
Population aged 65 or over	17%	22%	lower than 84 % of them

Compared with the 8.217 municipalities in Spain. The bar shows where Villaverde del Río stands: further right means more risk.

Indicator	Villaverde del Río	Group median	Position
Tropical nights a year, today	33 nights	0 nights	higher than 93 % of them
Tropical nights a year, 2050	74 nights	8 nights	higher than 91 % of them
Average summer maximum, 2050	38,2 °C	32,4 °C	higher than 99 % of them
Night-time heat island	−0,5 °C	0,1 °C	lower than 89 % of them
Flood-prone area (100-year)	21,2%	0,6%	higher than 97 % of them
Area burnt 2016-2026	0,0%	0,0%	lower than 64 % of them
Water stress 2050 (0-5)	5,0	4,6	higher than 82 % of them
Maximum 50-year gust	31 m/s	31 m/s	lower than 51 % of them
Ground movement	−0,6 mm/yr	−0,4 mm/yr	sinking faster than 60 % of them
Population aged 65 or over	17%	28%	lower than 92 % of them

Values for the municipality as a whole (median over built-up land). The position is the percentage of municipalities in the group with a lower value: it is not a probability of damage. 2050 = SSP3-7.0 scenario.

Nearby

Neighbouring municipalities

For specialists

Download the data

Semicolon-separated tables with a decimal comma, ready to open in a spreadsheet or a GIS (areas include longitude and latitude).

zonas.csv · each 250 m area with at least 3 buildings: average score and % at high level for each hazard, today and 2050
calles.csv · the 11 streets with at least 60 homes
cauces.csv · rivers, gullies and irrigation channels: homes within 50 and 100 m and in a flood zone
Municipality summary (in Spanish) and PDF report

What this is and what it is not. It is a guide-only analysis made with public data and models, with the same rules for every municipality. It does not replace official maps, a technical study or emergency plans. For your own building, look up its report.

How we did it

Building by building. We have scored the 3.474 Cadastre buildings in Villaverde del Río with the same rules as each building’s report on Mi Riesgo Climático, from 0 to 100 for each hazard: low (up to 25), medium (up to 50), high (up to 75) and very high.

Aggregates only. To protect each owner, no individual building appears here: only 250 m areas with at least 3 buildings, and neighbourhoods and streets with at least 60 homes.

Wildfire and flooding. Wildfire counts proximity to woodland or scrubland of at least 100 ha (not urban parks or tree-lined streets). For flooding, besides the official flood zones, a building that was inside a real flood observed by satellite (Copernicus EMS, such as the 2024 DANA storm) is at least at high level.

2050. Average for 2041-2070 under an intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0). Tropical nights and heat change with the climate; flooding, wildfire, wind and ground movement are shown with current data when there is no projection.

Rivers and streams. Named watercourses from OpenStreetMap. We count the homes less than 50 and 100 m from the watercourse and, separately, how many of them are in an official flood zone (SNCZI). Being close does not mean they will flood, and having no official zone does not mean they cannot.

Neighbourhoods and streets. Neighbourhoods and districts from OpenStreetMap; streets according to the Cadastre address. The street heat index combines tropical nights in 2050 (35 %), heat island (30 %), lack of trees (20 %) and buildings from before 1980 (15 %).

Sources. Cadastre (buildings and addresses); ERA5 + CHELSA/CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR and AdapteCCa (tropical nights and temperature); Landsat 8/9 and MODIS (heat island); ESA WorldCover and EFFIS (wildfire); MITECO SNCZI (flood zones); JRC (coast); ERA5 + Global Wind Atlas (wind); Copernicus EGMS (ground movement); WRI Aqueduct (water); INE (population); OpenStreetMap, © contributors, ODbL (streets, neighbourhoods, rivers and facilities).

Villaverde del RíoClimate risk in its neighbourhoods, streets and rivers, today and in 2050