We have scored the climate risk of the 3.522 buildings in Santa Úrsula using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse.
Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.
Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →
It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.
These are 1.852 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Of these, 9 are blocks of flats with 446 homes, where evacuation is harder.
Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.
Around homes with between 2 and 5 % tree cover, the surface in summer is 2,7 °C above the median for Santa Úrsula; with more than 40 % tree cover, 1,3 °C below. 47 homes are in surroundings with almost no trees.
Ground surface temperature (Landsat), not air temperature. More trees usually go with less asphalt and lower density: this is a correlation, not a measure of the effect of planting trees.
Along Barranco Hondo o del Infierno (5,1 km within the municipality, dry most of the year) there is no official mapped flood zone, but there are 85 homes less than 50 m from the watercourse.
Having no official map does not mean it cannot overflow: watercourses that are dry most of the year are the ones that cause the most surprises in a storm.
Schools whose surroundings are at least 1 °C hotter than the municipal median in summer. They are the first candidates for shade and tree-lined playgrounds.
Ground surface temperature (Landsat) around the building closest to the OpenStreetMap point.
In a typical building in Santa Úrsula, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 13 a year (1991-2020) to about 22 by 2050. For this reason, 6 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.
Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).
The 6.374 homes in Santa Úrsula by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.
The same data for all 8.217 municipalities in Spain. Choose what to compare with: municipalities of a similar size, the province, the region or the whole of Spain.
Compared with the 893 municipalities with between 5.000 and 20.000 inhabitants. The bar shows where Santa Úrsula stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Santa Úrsula | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 13 nights | 10 nights | higher than 55 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 28 nights | 48 nights | lower than 65 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 24,4 °C | 32,4 °C | lower than 93 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,7 °C | 0,4 °C | higher than 70 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,0% | 1,2% | lower than 85 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 38,3% | 0,0% | higher than 99 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 2,8 | 4,8 | lower than 77 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 35 m/s | 30 m/s | higher than 91 % of them |
| Ground movement | −1,5 mm/yr | −0,6 mm/yr | sinking faster than 88 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 17% | 20% | lower than 75 % of them |
Compared with the 54 municipalities in Santa Cruz de Tenerife province. The bar shows where Santa Úrsula stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Santa Úrsula | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 13 nights | 24 nights | lower than 81 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 28 nights | 57 nights | lower than 81 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 24,4 °C | 24,9 °C | lower than 72 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,7 °C | 0,9 °C | lower than 54 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,0% | 0,0% | higher than 50 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 38,3% | 0,2% | higher than 92 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 2,8 | 2,8 | higher than 50 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 35 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 68 % of them |
| Ground movement | −1,5 mm/yr | −1,4 mm/yr | sinking faster than 59 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 17% | 21% | lower than 88 % of them |
Compared with the 88 municipalities in the Canary Islands. The bar shows where Santa Úrsula stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Santa Úrsula | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 13 nights | 41 nights | lower than 88 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 28 nights | 78 nights | lower than 88 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 24,4 °C | 25,1 °C | lower than 75 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,7 °C | 0,5 °C | higher than 61 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,0% | 0,0% | higher than 50 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 38,3% | 0,1% | higher than 94 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 2,8 | 2,8 | higher than 50 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 35 m/s | 29 m/s | higher than 73 % of them |
| Ground movement | −1,5 mm/yr | −1,3 mm/yr | sinking faster than 64 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 17% | 20% | lower than 77 % of them |
Compared with the 8.217 municipalities in Spain. The bar shows where Santa Úrsula stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Santa Úrsula | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 13 nights | 0 nights | higher than 80 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 28 nights | 8 nights | higher than 62 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 24,4 °C | 32,4 °C | lower than 96 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,7 °C | 0,1 °C | higher than 84 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,0% | 0,6% | lower than 80 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 38,3% | 0,0% | higher than 98 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 2,8 | 4,6 | lower than 84 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 35 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 89 % of them |
| Ground movement | −1,5 mm/yr | −0,4 mm/yr | sinking faster than 92 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 17% | 28% | lower than 92 % of them |
Values for the municipality as a whole (median over built-up land). The position is the percentage of municipalities in the group with a lower value: it is not a probability of damage. 2050 = SSP3-7.0 scenario.
Semicolon-separated tables with a decimal comma, ready to open in a spreadsheet or a GIS (areas include longitude and latitude).
What this is and what it is not. It is a guide-only analysis made with public data and models, with the same rules for every municipality. It does not replace official maps, a technical study or emergency plans. For your own building, look up its report.
Building by building. We have scored the 3.522 Cadastre buildings in Santa Úrsula with the same rules as each building’s report on Mi Riesgo Climático, from 0 to 100 for each hazard: low (up to 25), medium (up to 50), high (up to 75) and very high.
Aggregates only. To protect each owner, no individual building appears here: only 250 m areas with at least 3 buildings, and neighbourhoods and streets with at least 60 homes.
Wildfire and flooding. Wildfire counts proximity to woodland or scrubland of at least 100 ha (not urban parks or tree-lined streets). For flooding, besides the official flood zones, a building that was inside a real flood observed by satellite (Copernicus EMS, such as the 2024 DANA storm) is at least at high level.
2050. Average for 2041-2070 under an intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0). Tropical nights and heat change with the climate; flooding, wildfire, wind and ground movement are shown with current data when there is no projection.
Rivers and streams. Named watercourses from OpenStreetMap. We count the homes less than 50 and 100 m from the watercourse and, separately, how many of them are in an official flood zone (SNCZI). Being close does not mean they will flood, and having no official zone does not mean they cannot.
Neighbourhoods and streets. Neighbourhoods and districts from OpenStreetMap; streets according to the Cadastre address. The street heat index combines tropical nights in 2050 (35 %), heat island (30 %), lack of trees (20 %) and buildings from before 1980 (15 %).
Sources. Cadastre (buildings and addresses); ERA5 + CHELSA/CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR and AdapteCCa (tropical nights and temperature); Landsat 8/9 and MODIS (heat island); ESA WorldCover and EFFIS (wildfire); MITECO SNCZI (flood zones); JRC (coast); ERA5 + Global Wind Atlas (wind); Copernicus EGMS (ground movement); WRI Aqueduct (water); INE (population); OpenStreetMap, © contributors, ODbL (streets, neighbourhoods, rivers and facilities).