We have scored the climate risk of the 2.195 buildings in Cervera de Pisuerga using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse. Water is the biggest factor: 580 homes are in a flood zone.
Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.
Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →
It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.
They are in the area that can flood once every 500 years according to the official maps (SNCZI); 148 of them are in the 100-year area. Next to Río Pisuerga, 106 homes are inside the flood zone, less than 100 m from the watercourse.
According to the Ministry’s studies, this is an annual probability of 0,2 % (500 years) or 1 % (100 years), not “once every 500 years”: it can happen two years in a row. Small gullies are not always mapped.
These are 729 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Of these, 2 are blocks of flats with 55 homes, where evacuation is harder.
Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.
They are in the official 500-year flood zone or in a preferential flow zone. They are the first to review in an emergency plan: who is inside, how to get out and whether they use the ground floor.
OpenStreetMap location matched to the nearest Cadastre building.
The 2.636 homes in Cervera de Pisuerga by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.
The same data for all 8.217 municipalities in Spain. Choose what to compare with: municipalities of a similar size, the province, the region or the whole of Spain.
Compared with the 1.826 municipalities with between 1.000 and 5.000 inhabitants. The bar shows where Cervera de Pisuerga stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Cervera de Pisuerga | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 0 nights | 5 nights | lower than 84 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 0 nights | 34 nights | lower than 93 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 24,1 °C | 33,0 °C | lower than 96 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,2 °C | 0,2 °C | higher than 50 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 2,4% | 1,1% | higher than 64 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 1,7% | 0,0% | higher than 83 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,7 | 4,6 | higher than 53 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 33 m/s | 30 m/s | higher than 76 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,9 mm/yr | −0,3 mm/yr | sinking faster than 81 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 28% | 24% | higher than 74 % of them |
Compared with the 191 municipalities in Palencia province. The bar shows where Cervera de Pisuerga stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Cervera de Pisuerga | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 0 nights | 0 nights | higher than 50 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 0 nights | 0 nights | lower than 71 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 24,1 °C | 31,4 °C | lower than 97 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,2 °C | 0,0 °C | higher than 71 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 2,4% | 2,6% | lower than 52 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 1,7% | 0,0% | higher than 95 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,7 | 4,7 | lower than 97 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 33 m/s | 34 m/s | lower than 70 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,9 mm/yr | −0,6 mm/yr | sinking faster than 67 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 28% | 38% | lower than 88 % of them |
Compared with the 2.298 municipalities in Castile and León. The bar shows where Cervera de Pisuerga stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Cervera de Pisuerga | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 0 nights | 0 nights | lower than 51 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 0 nights | 1 nights | lower than 83 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 24,1 °C | 32,2 °C | lower than 99 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,2 °C | 0,0 °C | higher than 70 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 2,4% | 0,2% | higher than 66 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 1,7% | 0,0% | higher than 89 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,7 | 4,7 | lower than 58 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 33 m/s | 33 m/s | higher than 50 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,9 mm/yr | −0,6 mm/yr | sinking faster than 75 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 28% | 38% | lower than 83 % of them |
Compared with the 8.217 municipalities in Spain. The bar shows where Cervera de Pisuerga stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Cervera de Pisuerga | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 0 nights | 0 nights | lower than 74 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 0 nights | 8 nights | lower than 92 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 24,1 °C | 32,4 °C | lower than 97 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,2 °C | 0,1 °C | higher than 56 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 2,4% | 0,6% | higher than 69 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 1,7% | 0,0% | higher than 86 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,7 | 4,6 | higher than 53 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 33 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 71 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,9 mm/yr | −0,4 mm/yr | sinking faster than 74 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 28% | 28% | lower than 51 % of them |
Values for the municipality as a whole (median over built-up land). The position is the percentage of municipalities in the group with a lower value: it is not a probability of damage. 2050 = SSP3-7.0 scenario.
Semicolon-separated tables with a decimal comma, ready to open in a spreadsheet or a GIS (areas include longitude and latitude).
What this is and what it is not. It is a guide-only analysis made with public data and models, with the same rules for every municipality. It does not replace official maps, a technical study or emergency plans. For your own building, look up its report.
Building by building. We have scored the 2.195 Cadastre buildings in Cervera de Pisuerga with the same rules as each building’s report on Mi Riesgo Climático, from 0 to 100 for each hazard: low (up to 25), medium (up to 50), high (up to 75) and very high.
Aggregates only. To protect each owner, no individual building appears here: only 250 m areas with at least 3 buildings, and neighbourhoods and streets with at least 60 homes.
Wildfire and flooding. Wildfire counts proximity to woodland or scrubland of at least 100 ha (not urban parks or tree-lined streets). For flooding, besides the official flood zones, a building that was inside a real flood observed by satellite (Copernicus EMS, such as the 2024 DANA storm) is at least at high level.
2050. Average for 2041-2070 under an intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0). Tropical nights and heat change with the climate; flooding, wildfire, wind and ground movement are shown with current data when there is no projection.
Rivers and streams. Named watercourses from OpenStreetMap. We count the homes less than 50 and 100 m from the watercourse and, separately, how many of them are in an official flood zone (SNCZI). Being close does not mean they will flood, and having no official zone does not mean they cannot.
Neighbourhoods and streets. Neighbourhoods and districts from OpenStreetMap; streets according to the Cadastre address. The street heat index combines tropical nights in 2050 (35 %), heat island (30 %), lack of trees (20 %) and buildings from before 1980 (15 %).
Sources. Cadastre (buildings and addresses); ERA5 + CHELSA/CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR and AdapteCCa (tropical nights and temperature); Landsat 8/9 and MODIS (heat island); ESA WorldCover and EFFIS (wildfire); MITECO SNCZI (flood zones); JRC (coast); ERA5 + Global Wind Atlas (wind); Copernicus EGMS (ground movement); WRI Aqueduct (water); INE (population); OpenStreetMap, © contributors, ODbL (streets, neighbourhoods, rivers and facilities).