Málaga · 2.984 inhabitants · 1.838 buildings analysed one by one

MondaClimate risk in its neighbourhoods, streets and rivers, today and in 2050

We have scored the climate risk of the 1.838 buildings in Monda using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse. The clearest change comes at night: from 26 to 58 tropical nights a year by 2050.

26→58tropical nights a year in a typical building, today and by 2050
47%of homes at high or very high wildfire risk by 2050
1.933homes in 1.838 buildings analysed one by one
At a glance

Where the risk lies by 2050

LowMediumHighVery highRivers and streams

Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.

Tropical nights a year in a typical building

Monda compared with Spain

  • Tropical nights a year, 2050: 66 nights
    higher than 88 % of municipalities
  • Average summer maximum, 2050: 30,4 °C
    lower than 72 % of municipalities
  • Flood-prone area (100-year): 0,0%
    lower than 80 % of municipalities
  • Area burnt 2016-2026: 0,1%
    higher than 74 % of municipalities
  • Water stress 2050 (0-5): 5,0
    higher than 82 % of municipalities

Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →

What stands out

What we found in Monda

It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.

1

From 26 to 58 tropical nights a year

26→58 nights

In a typical building in Monda, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 26 a year (1991-2020) to about 58 by 2050. For this reason, 100 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.

Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).

2

899 homes at very high wildfire risk

954 buildings

These are 954 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Of these, 2 are blocks of flats with 77 homes, where evacuation is harder.

  • Calle Estacar: 47
  • Calle Marbella: 30

Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.

3

Where there are fewer trees, 2,9 °C hotter

2,9 °C

Around homes with between 5 and 10 % tree cover, the surface in summer is 0,7 °C above the median for Monda; with more than 40 % tree cover, 2,2 °C below. 0 homes are in surroundings with almost no trees.

Ground surface temperature (Landsat), not air temperature. More trees usually go with less asphalt and lower density: this is a correlation, not a measure of the effect of planting trees.

Six hazards

How many homes are at high risk, today and in 2050

The 1.933 homes in Monda by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.

LowMediumHighVery high
What can be done

For the town council and for residents

For the town council and its technical staff

  • Climate shelters, and late-afternoon and evening opening hours at libraries and community centres in the areas with the most tropical nights.
  • Review with the river basin authority the watercourses with no official mapping that run next to homes, and keep them clear.
  • Firebreaks and evacuation routes in the streets that border woodland.
  • Download the tables by area, neighbourhood, street and watercourse (Data tab) to cross-check them with urban planning.

For residents

  • Air your home in the early hours, shade west-facing walls from the sun and ask about grants to insulate the roof.
  • If you live on a ground floor or have a garage next to a watercourse, have a plan: where to go upstairs, what to switch off and how to hear about warnings.
  • Keep the strip around your house clear of dry vegetation and know both ways out of your street.
  • Look up your building: the free report gives its level for each hazard, and the Climate Note gives the full detail.

Look up your building