We have scored the climate risk of the 1.098 buildings in Horcajo de los Montes using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse. The clearest change comes at night: from 15 to 57 tropical nights a year by 2050.
Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.
Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →
It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.
In a typical building in Horcajo de los Montes, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 15 a year (1991-2020) to about 57 by 2050. For this reason, 100 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.
Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).
These are 277 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Almost all are houses (277), on the edges of the town and in housing estates.
Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.
The 716 homes in Horcajo de los Montes by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.
The same data for all 8.217 municipalities in Spain. Choose what to compare with: municipalities of a similar size, the province, the region or the whole of Spain.
Compared with the 5.066 municipalities with fewer than 1.000 inhabitants. The bar shows where Horcajo de los Montes stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Horcajo de los Montes | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 15 nights | 0 nights | higher than 93 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 54 nights | 2 nights | higher than 91 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 36,4 °C | 32,4 °C | higher than 93 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | −0,5 °C | 0,0 °C | lower than 86 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,7% | 0,1% | higher than 58 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 0,0% | 0,0% | lower than 61 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,8 | 4,6 | higher than 63 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 33 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 66 % of them |
| Ground movement | 0,3 mm/yr | −0,4 mm/yr | sinking more slowly than 81 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 31% | 34% | lower than 61 % of them |
Compared with the 102 municipalities in Ciudad Real province. The bar shows where Horcajo de los Montes stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Horcajo de los Montes | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 15 nights | 13 nights | higher than 65 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 54 nights | 52 nights | higher than 57 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 36,4 °C | 36,9 °C | lower than 80 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | −0,5 °C | 0,0 °C | lower than 79 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,7% | 1,5% | lower than 69 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 0,0% | 0,0% | lower than 70 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,8 | 4,8 | higher than 52 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 33 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 85 % of them |
| Ground movement | 0,3 mm/yr | −0,2 mm/yr | sinking more slowly than 79 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 31% | 29% | higher than 61 % of them |
Compared with the 921 municipalities in Castile-La Mancha. The bar shows where Horcajo de los Montes stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Horcajo de los Montes | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 15 nights | 1 nights | higher than 91 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 54 nights | 23 nights | higher than 88 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 36,4 °C | 35,4 °C | higher than 69 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | −0,5 °C | 0,1 °C | lower than 84 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,7% | 0,7% | higher than 51 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 0,0% | 0,0% | lower than 61 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,8 | 5,0 | lower than 75 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 33 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 80 % of them |
| Ground movement | 0,3 mm/yr | −0,3 mm/yr | sinking more slowly than 78 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 31% | 30% | higher than 52 % of them |
Compared with the 8.217 municipalities in Spain. The bar shows where Horcajo de los Montes stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Horcajo de los Montes | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 15 nights | 0 nights | higher than 83 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 54 nights | 8 nights | higher than 80 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 36,4 °C | 32,4 °C | higher than 88 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | −0,5 °C | 0,1 °C | lower than 89 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,7% | 0,6% | higher than 52 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 0,0% | 0,0% | lower than 64 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,8 | 4,6 | higher than 59 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 33 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 70 % of them |
| Ground movement | 0,3 mm/yr | −0,4 mm/yr | sinking more slowly than 83 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 31% | 28% | higher than 58 % of them |
Values for the municipality as a whole (median over built-up land). The position is the percentage of municipalities in the group with a lower value: it is not a probability of damage. 2050 = SSP3-7.0 scenario.
Semicolon-separated tables with a decimal comma, ready to open in a spreadsheet or a GIS (areas include longitude and latitude).
What this is and what it is not. It is a guide-only analysis made with public data and models, with the same rules for every municipality. It does not replace official maps, a technical study or emergency plans. For your own building, look up its report.
Building by building. We have scored the 1.098 Cadastre buildings in Horcajo de los Montes with the same rules as each building’s report on Mi Riesgo Climático, from 0 to 100 for each hazard: low (up to 25), medium (up to 50), high (up to 75) and very high.
Aggregates only. To protect each owner, no individual building appears here: only 250 m areas with at least 3 buildings, and neighbourhoods and streets with at least 60 homes.
Wildfire and flooding. Wildfire counts proximity to woodland or scrubland of at least 100 ha (not urban parks or tree-lined streets). For flooding, besides the official flood zones, a building that was inside a real flood observed by satellite (Copernicus EMS, such as the 2024 DANA storm) is at least at high level.
2050. Average for 2041-2070 under an intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0). Tropical nights and heat change with the climate; flooding, wildfire, wind and ground movement are shown with current data when there is no projection.
Rivers and streams. Named watercourses from OpenStreetMap. We count the homes less than 50 and 100 m from the watercourse and, separately, how many of them are in an official flood zone (SNCZI). Being close does not mean they will flood, and having no official zone does not mean they cannot.
Neighbourhoods and streets. Neighbourhoods and districts from OpenStreetMap; streets according to the Cadastre address. The street heat index combines tropical nights in 2050 (35 %), heat island (30 %), lack of trees (20 %) and buildings from before 1980 (15 %).
Sources. Cadastre (buildings and addresses); ERA5 + CHELSA/CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR and AdapteCCa (tropical nights and temperature); Landsat 8/9 and MODIS (heat island); ESA WorldCover and EFFIS (wildfire); MITECO SNCZI (flood zones); JRC (coast); ERA5 + Global Wind Atlas (wind); Copernicus EGMS (ground movement); WRI Aqueduct (water); INE (population); OpenStreetMap, © contributors, ODbL (streets, neighbourhoods, rivers and facilities).