Balearic Islands · 8.398 inhabitants · 4.777 buildings analysed one by one

MuroClimate risk in its neighbourhoods, streets and rivers, today and in 2050

We have scored the climate risk of the 4.777 buildings in Muro using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse. The clearest change comes at night: from 19 to 54 tropical nights a year by 2050.

19→54tropical nights a year in a typical building, today and by 2050
55%of homes at high or very high heat risk by 2050
3.811homes in 4.777 buildings analysed one by one
At a glance

Where the risk lies by 2050

LowMediumHighVery highRivers and streams

Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.

Tropical nights a year in a typical building

Muro compared with Spain

  • Tropical nights a year, 2050: 78 nights
    higher than 92 % of municipalities
  • Average summer maximum, 2050: 33,3 °C
    higher than 63 % of municipalities
  • Flood-prone area (100-year): 0,0%
    lower than 80 % of municipalities
  • Area burnt 2016-2026: 8,2%
    higher than 93 % of municipalities
  • Water stress 2050 (0-5): 5,0
    higher than 82 % of municipalities

Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →

What stands out

What we found in Muro

It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.

1

Where there are fewer trees, 5,6 °C hotter

5,6 °C

Around homes with less than 2 % tree cover, the surface in summer is 0,5 °C above the median for Muro; with more than 40 % tree cover, 5,1 °C below. 821 homes are in surroundings with almost no trees.

Ground surface temperature (Landsat), not air temperature. More trees usually go with less asphalt and lower density: this is a correlation, not a measure of the effect of planting trees.

2

From 19 to 54 tropical nights a year

19→54 nights

In a typical building in Muro, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 19 a year (1991-2020) to about 54 by 2050. For this reason, 100 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.

Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).

3

524 homes less than 2 m above sea level

524 homes

That is 14 % of homes. The extreme sea level in a 100-year storm reaches 1,25 m today and 1,55 m by 2050.

Ground elevation at the building (IGN digital terrain model). Being low-lying does not mean it will flood: that depends on the beach, sea defences and drainage.

4

397 homes at very high wildfire risk

978 buildings

These are 978 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Of these, 2 are blocks of flats with 166 homes, where evacuation is harder.

  • carrer de les Copinyes: 24

Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.

5

72 in every 100 buildings were built before 1980

72 %

They were built before the first thermal insulation standard (1979). With 54 tropical nights a year by 2050, they will hold the most heat at night and have the most to gain from a retrofit.

Year of construction from the Cadastre.

Six hazards

How many homes are at high risk, today and in 2050

The 3.811 homes in Muro by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.

LowMediumHighVery high
What can be done

For the town council and for residents

For the town council and its technical staff

  • Climate shelters, and late-afternoon and evening opening hours at libraries and community centres in the areas with the most tropical nights.
  • Shade and trees in the playgrounds of the 2 schools with the hottest surroundings.
  • Firebreaks and evacuation routes in the streets that border woodland.
  • Emergency self-protection plans in the schools, care homes and health centres that are in a flood zone.
  • Download the tables by area, neighbourhood, street and watercourse (Data tab) to cross-check them with urban planning.

For residents

  • Air your home in the early hours, shade west-facing walls from the sun and ask about grants to insulate the roof.
  • Keep the strip around your house clear of dry vegetation and know both ways out of your street.
  • Look up your building: the free report gives its level for each hazard, and the Climate Note gives the full detail.

Look up your building