We have scored the climate risk of the 12.743 buildings in Llucmajor using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse. The clearest change comes at night: from 20 to 57 tropical nights a year by 2050.
Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.
Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →
It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.
These are 2.344 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Of these, 19 are blocks of flats with 1.187 homes, where evacuation is harder.
Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.
In a typical building in Llucmajor, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 20 a year (1991-2020) to about 57 by 2050. For this reason, 100 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.
Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).
That is 1 % of homes. The extreme sea level in a 100-year storm reaches 1,12 m today and 1,42 m by 2050.
Ground elevation at the building (IGN digital terrain model). Being low-lying does not mean it will flood: that depends on the beach, sea defences and drainage.
Along Torrent des Jueus (4,5 km within the municipality, dry most of the year) there is no official mapped flood zone, but there are 84 homes less than 50 m from the watercourse.
Having no official map does not mean it cannot overflow: watercourses that are dry most of the year are the ones that cause the most surprises in a storm.
They were built before the first thermal insulation standard (1979). With 57 tropical nights a year by 2050, they will hold the most heat at night and have the most to gain from a retrofit.
Year of construction from the Cadastre.
The 18.515 homes in Llucmajor by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.
The same data for all 8.217 municipalities in Spain. Choose what to compare with: municipalities of a similar size, the province, the region or the whole of Spain.
Compared with the 365 municipalities with between 20.000 and 100.000 inhabitants. The bar shows where Llucmajor stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Llucmajor | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 45 nights | 28 nights | higher than 66 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 103 nights | 74 nights | higher than 72 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 32,0 °C | 32,0 °C | higher than 50 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,9 °C | 0,7 °C | higher than 61 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,0% | 2,0% | lower than 89 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 0,0% | 0,0% | lower than 66 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 5,0 | 4,9 | higher than 76 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 31 m/s | 29 m/s | higher than 68 % of them |
| Ground movement | −1,3 mm/yr | −0,7 mm/yr | sinking faster than 82 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 17% | 19% | lower than 67 % of them |
Compared with the 67 municipalities in Balearic Islands province. The bar shows where Llucmajor stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Llucmajor | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 45 nights | 21 nights | higher than 69 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 103 nights | 78 nights | higher than 72 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 32,0 °C | 32,2 °C | lower than 57 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,9 °C | 0,3 °C | higher than 87 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,0% | 0,0% | higher than 50 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 0,0% | 0,0% | lower than 54 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 5,0 | 5,0 | higher than 50 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 31 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 51 % of them |
| Ground movement | −1,3 mm/yr | −1,0 mm/yr | sinking faster than 87 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 17% | 18% | lower than 69 % of them |
Compared with the 8.217 municipalities in Spain. The bar shows where Llucmajor stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Llucmajor | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 45 nights | 0 nights | higher than 95 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 103 nights | 8 nights | higher than 96 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 32,0 °C | 32,4 °C | lower than 56 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,9 °C | 0,1 °C | higher than 90 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,0% | 0,6% | lower than 80 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 0,0% | 0,0% | lower than 64 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 5,0 | 4,6 | higher than 82 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 31 m/s | 31 m/s | lower than 51 % of them |
| Ground movement | −1,3 mm/yr | −0,4 mm/yr | sinking faster than 88 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 17% | 28% | lower than 92 % of them |
Values for the municipality as a whole (median over built-up land). The position is the percentage of municipalities in the group with a lower value: it is not a probability of damage. 2050 = SSP3-7.0 scenario.
Semicolon-separated tables with a decimal comma, ready to open in a spreadsheet or a GIS (areas include longitude and latitude).
What this is and what it is not. It is a guide-only analysis made with public data and models, with the same rules for every municipality. It does not replace official maps, a technical study or emergency plans. For your own building, look up its report.
Building by building. We have scored the 12.743 Cadastre buildings in Llucmajor with the same rules as each building’s report on Mi Riesgo Climático, from 0 to 100 for each hazard: low (up to 25), medium (up to 50), high (up to 75) and very high.
Aggregates only. To protect each owner, no individual building appears here: only 250 m areas with at least 3 buildings, and neighbourhoods and streets with at least 60 homes.
Wildfire and flooding. Wildfire counts proximity to woodland or scrubland of at least 100 ha (not urban parks or tree-lined streets). For flooding, besides the official flood zones, a building that was inside a real flood observed by satellite (Copernicus EMS, such as the 2024 DANA storm) is at least at high level.
2050. Average for 2041-2070 under an intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0). Tropical nights and heat change with the climate; flooding, wildfire, wind and ground movement are shown with current data when there is no projection.
Rivers and streams. Named watercourses from OpenStreetMap. We count the homes less than 50 and 100 m from the watercourse and, separately, how many of them are in an official flood zone (SNCZI). Being close does not mean they will flood, and having no official zone does not mean they cannot.
Neighbourhoods and streets. Neighbourhoods and districts from OpenStreetMap; streets according to the Cadastre address. The street heat index combines tropical nights in 2050 (35 %), heat island (30 %), lack of trees (20 %) and buildings from before 1980 (15 %).
Sources. Cadastre (buildings and addresses); ERA5 + CHELSA/CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR and AdapteCCa (tropical nights and temperature); Landsat 8/9 and MODIS (heat island); ESA WorldCover and EFFIS (wildfire); MITECO SNCZI (flood zones); JRC (coast); ERA5 + Global Wind Atlas (wind); Copernicus EGMS (ground movement); WRI Aqueduct (water); INE (population); OpenStreetMap, © contributors, ODbL (streets, neighbourhoods, rivers and facilities).