We have scored the climate risk of the 3.825 buildings in Zafra using Cadastre data, satellite imagery and climate projections, and added it up by area, street and watercourse. The clearest change comes at night: from 8 to 34 tropical nights a year by 2050.
Level of the highest hazard in each 250 m area by 2050: flooding, heat, wildfire, wind or ground movement.
Position among the 8.217 municipalities: further right means more risk. These are figures for the municipality as a whole, the same for everyone; they may differ from those for the typical building. Compare with others →
It comes from matching each building with its neighbourhood, its street, the nearest watercourse and its surroundings.
In a typical building in Zafra, nights when the temperature stays at or above 20 °C would rise from 8 a year (1991-2020) to about 34 by 2050. For this reason, 0 % of homes would be at a high or very high level.
Median of the buildings. Intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0).
These are 480 buildings right next to vegetation that can burn. Almost all are houses (477), on the edges of the town and in housing estates.
Proximity to woodland and to burnt areas (ESA WorldCover, EFFIS). It does not measure the state of the vegetation or any firebreaks.
Schools whose surroundings are at least 1 °C hotter than the municipal median in summer. They are the first candidates for shade and tree-lined playgrounds.
Ground surface temperature (Landsat) around the building closest to the OpenStreetMap point.
The 8.695 homes in Zafra by the level of their building. Tap a hazard to see it on the map.
The same data for all 8.217 municipalities in Spain. Choose what to compare with: municipalities of a similar size, the province, the region or the whole of Spain.
Compared with the 893 municipalities with between 5.000 and 20.000 inhabitants. The bar shows where Zafra stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Zafra | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 7 nights | 10 nights | lower than 56 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 34 nights | 48 nights | lower than 62 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 35,8 °C | 32,4 °C | higher than 72 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,9 °C | 0,4 °C | higher than 80 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,4% | 1,2% | lower than 62 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 2,2% | 0,0% | higher than 85 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,0 | 4,8 | lower than 66 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 34 m/s | 30 m/s | higher than 85 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,1 mm/yr | −0,6 mm/yr | sinking more slowly than 73 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 21% | 20% | higher than 62 % of them |
Compared with the 165 municipalities in Badajoz province. The bar shows where Zafra stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Zafra | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 7 nights | 12 nights | lower than 79 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 34 nights | 43 nights | lower than 77 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 35,8 °C | 36,4 °C | lower than 76 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,9 °C | 0,1 °C | higher than 92 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,4% | 1,2% | lower than 68 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 2,2% | 0,1% | higher than 87 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,0 | 4,6 | lower than 71 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 34 m/s | 32 m/s | higher than 81 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,1 mm/yr | −0,2 mm/yr | sinking more slowly than 60 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 21% | 25% | lower than 85 % of them |
Compared with the 388 municipalities in Extremadura. The bar shows where Zafra stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Zafra | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 7 nights | 14 nights | lower than 84 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 34 nights | 48 nights | lower than 81 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 35,8 °C | 36,2 °C | lower than 69 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,9 °C | 0,1 °C | higher than 84 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,4% | 1,1% | lower than 65 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 2,2% | 0,2% | higher than 77 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,0 | 4,0 | higher than 51 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 34 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 84 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,1 mm/yr | −0,3 mm/yr | sinking more slowly than 71 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 21% | 29% | lower than 92 % of them |
Compared with the 8.217 municipalities in Spain. The bar shows where Zafra stands: further right means more risk.
| Indicator | Zafra | Group median | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical nights a year, today | 7 nights | 0 nights | higher than 72 % of them |
| Tropical nights a year, 2050 | 34 nights | 8 nights | higher than 66 % of them |
| Average summer maximum, 2050 | 35,8 °C | 32,4 °C | higher than 83 % of them |
| Night-time heat island | 0,9 °C | 0,1 °C | higher than 90 % of them |
| Flood-prone area (100-year) | 0,4% | 0,6% | lower than 52 % of them |
| Area burnt 2016-2026 | 2,2% | 0,0% | higher than 87 % of them |
| Water stress 2050 (0-5) | 4,0 | 4,6 | lower than 69 % of them |
| Maximum 50-year gust | 34 m/s | 31 m/s | higher than 80 % of them |
| Ground movement | −0,1 mm/yr | −0,4 mm/yr | sinking more slowly than 70 % of them |
| Population aged 65 or over | 21% | 28% | lower than 77 % of them |
Values for the municipality as a whole (median over built-up land). The position is the percentage of municipalities in the group with a lower value: it is not a probability of damage. 2050 = SSP3-7.0 scenario.
Semicolon-separated tables with a decimal comma, ready to open in a spreadsheet or a GIS (areas include longitude and latitude).
What this is and what it is not. It is a guide-only analysis made with public data and models, with the same rules for every municipality. It does not replace official maps, a technical study or emergency plans. For your own building, look up its report.
Building by building. We have scored the 3.825 Cadastre buildings in Zafra with the same rules as each building’s report on Mi Riesgo Climático, from 0 to 100 for each hazard: low (up to 25), medium (up to 50), high (up to 75) and very high.
Aggregates only. To protect each owner, no individual building appears here: only 250 m areas with at least 3 buildings, and neighbourhoods and streets with at least 60 homes.
Wildfire and flooding. Wildfire counts proximity to woodland or scrubland of at least 100 ha (not urban parks or tree-lined streets). For flooding, besides the official flood zones, a building that was inside a real flood observed by satellite (Copernicus EMS, such as the 2024 DANA storm) is at least at high level.
2050. Average for 2041-2070 under an intermediate-to-high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0). Tropical nights and heat change with the climate; flooding, wildfire, wind and ground movement are shown with current data when there is no projection.
Rivers and streams. Named watercourses from OpenStreetMap. We count the homes less than 50 and 100 m from the watercourse and, separately, how many of them are in an official flood zone (SNCZI). Being close does not mean they will flood, and having no official zone does not mean they cannot.
Neighbourhoods and streets. Neighbourhoods and districts from OpenStreetMap; streets according to the Cadastre address. The street heat index combines tropical nights in 2050 (35 %), heat island (30 %), lack of trees (20 %) and buildings from before 1980 (15 %).
Sources. Cadastre (buildings and addresses); ERA5 + CHELSA/CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR and AdapteCCa (tropical nights and temperature); Landsat 8/9 and MODIS (heat island); ESA WorldCover and EFFIS (wildfire); MITECO SNCZI (flood zones); JRC (coast); ERA5 + Global Wind Atlas (wind); Copernicus EGMS (ground movement); WRI Aqueduct (water); INE (population); OpenStreetMap, © contributors, ODbL (streets, neighbourhoods, rivers and facilities).